Economic Performance and Progress
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Strong Growth and Fiscal Discipline: In 2025, Portugal’s economy maintained a strong performance, with GDP growing faster than the euro area average.
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Debt Reduction: The budget recorded its third consecutive surplus in three years, successfully driving public debt below 90% of GDP (a significant decline from 134% in 2020).
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Labour Market and Inflation: The employment market remained robust, while inflation successfully declined close to its target.
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External Accounts: Strong tourism inflows ensured the current account stayed in a surplus, effectively offsetting lower external demand.
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Financial Stability: Systemic financial risks in the country remained moderate.
Ongoing Structural Challenges
Despite the favorable momentum, several structural hurdles persist:
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Living Standards: Living standards in Portugal remain well below the EU average.
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Public Debt: While declining, the public debt burden is still considered high.
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Housing Market: Fast-rising housing prices continue to weigh heavily on Portuguese households.
Outlook and Risks
While the baseline economic outlook remains favorable, significant international risks — notably stemming from the war in the Middle East — could lower overall growth or reignite inflationary pressures.
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